Referencia U20vs
Mauá U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Referencia U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Referencia U20 2-0 Mauá U20
Original prediction
Referencia U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 53.6% | 45.9% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 25.9% | 28.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.35 | 20.5% | 25.8% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Referencia U20
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Referencia U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40