Paulista - U20Paulista - U20
Friday, 31 July 202619:00Updated today
Referencia U20

Referencia U20

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L
vs
19:00
Guarani U20

Guarani U20

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
37% confidence
Guarani U20(36%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Win probability
Referencia U20
34%
Draw
30%
Guarani U20
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Referencia U20
9
Guarani U20
99
Defence
Referencia U20
27
Guarani U20
66
Momentum
Referencia U20
0
Guarani U20
100
Danger (xG)
Referencia U20
0.00
Guarani U20
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Referencia U20)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Guarani U20)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Referencia U20)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Guarani U20)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Referencia U20Referencia U20
L
Guarani U20Guarani U20
W

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Referencia U2034%
Draw30%
Guarani U2036%

Guarani U20 leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Referencia U20 head into this in Paulista - U20 fixture in mixed form (L), while Guarani U20 arrive in mixed form (W). Referencia U20 have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Guarani U20 over 1 games.

Tactically, Guarani U20 hold the edge. Their elite attack (99/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Referencia U20 defence (27/100), while Referencia U20's attack faces a solid Guarani U20 backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Referencia U20 have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Guarani U20 have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 4.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Referencia U20 and Guarani U20 in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Guarani U20 to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Referencia U20 3412%, Draw 2965%, Guarani U20 3622%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Referencia U20

Referencia U20

L
@ Capivariano U20
17 Jul 2026
02
Guarani U20

Guarani U20

W
@ Osasco Audax U20
17 Jul 2026
41

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Referencia U20 vs Guarani U20?

GoalVio's model predicts Guarani U20 to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Referencia U20 vs Guarani U20?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Referencia U20 vs Guarani U20?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Referencia U20 vs Guarani U20?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more