GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/11/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Redlands United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Redlands United are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Rochedale Rovers are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Redlands United hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Queensland NPL, while Redlands United holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Redlands United

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

58.6%

Redlands United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Redlands UnitedWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Rochedale RoversLLLDD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Redlands UnitedRochedale Rovers
48.5Attack51.5
50.0Defence21.2
39.4Form31.8
46.6Power36.5
2.58xG1.41
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