GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/18/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gold Coast Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Redlands United are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gold Coast Knights are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gold Coast Knights hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Queensland NPL, while Gold Coast Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gold Coast Knights

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Gold Coast Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Redlands UnitedLWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Gold Coast KnightsDWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Redlands UnitedGold Coast Knights
48.5Attack69.7
50.0Defence51.5
39.4Form57.6
46.6Power58.9
1.49xG2.03
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