Redditch Unitedvs
Racing Club Warwick
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 9/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Redditch United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Redditch United 2-1 Racing Club Warwick
Original prediction
Redditch United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 46.5% | 43.7% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.2% | 26.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 27.3% | 29.5% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Redditch United
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Redditch United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80