Redditch Unitedvs
Halesowen Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Halesowen Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Redditch United 3-1 Halesowen Town
Original prediction
Halesowen Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.2% | 34.1% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.2% | 29.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.6% | 36.6% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Halesowen Town
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Halesowen Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20