Redditch Unitedvs
Gloucester City
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Trophy · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Redditch United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Redditch United 2-2 Gloucester City
Original prediction
Redditch United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.0% | 38.5% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.6% | 26.2% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.4% | 35.3% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Redditch United
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Redditch United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00