Redditch Unitedvs
Bishop's Stortford
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Redditch United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Redditch United 3-1 Bishop's Stortford
Original prediction
Redditch United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.2% | 47.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.1% | 25.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.7% | 27.1% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Redditch United
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Redditch United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80