Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reddis · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reddis 1-0 Náxara
Original prediction
Reddis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 55.8% | 45.4% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.9% | 27.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.91 | 18.3% | 27.2% | 9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Reddis
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Reddis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ReddisLLLLW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
NáxaraLLWLW
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ReddisNáxara
0.0Attack16.7
50.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
21.5Power10.2
1.46xG1.06