Reddisvs
Espanyol II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reddis 1-1 Espanyol II
Original prediction
Espanyol II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 28.6% | 24.0% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.6% | 26.7% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.8% | 49.3% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Espanyol II
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
49.3%
Espanyol II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80