GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 3 · 8/25/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RED Star FC 93 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

RED Star FC 93 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sochaux are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and RED Star FC 93 hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Ligue 3, while RED Star FC 93 holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RED Star FC 93

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

RED Star FC 93 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RED Star FC 93LWLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SochauxL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
RED Star FC 93Sochaux
53.9Attack50.0
66.7Defence56.9
63.7Form47.1
62.9Power52.4
1.54xG0.88
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