RED Star FC 93vs
Saint Etienne
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 10/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Saint Etienne · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RED Star FC 93 0-1 Saint Etienne
Original prediction
Saint Etienne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 30.4% | 28.3% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.4% | 25.1% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 42.2% | 46.5% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Saint Etienne
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Saint Etienne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20