GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 2 · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Reims · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

RED Star FC 93 1-4 Reims

Original prediction

Reims

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8832.3%35.0%2.6 pts
Draw3.2129.1%28.9%-0.1 pts
Away2.4138.6%36.1%-2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

Reims

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Reims has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RED Star FC 93DDWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ReimsWDDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RED Star FC 93Reims
22.2Attack66.7
88.9Defence55.6
55.6Form55.6
59.1Power60.9
1.14xG1.12
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