RED Star FC 93vs
Metz
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 2 · 9/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RED Star FC 93 1-0 Metz
Original prediction
Metz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 38.3% | 31.7% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 29.0% | 28.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.7% | 39.6% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Metz
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Metz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RED Star FC 93WLDDW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MetzWDDDW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
RED Star FC 93Metz
33.3Attack53.3
60.0Defence73.3
53.3Form60.0
51.7Power63.3
0.90xG1.20