Red Lionsvs
Kamuzu Barracks
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 8/9/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Red Lions are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kamuzu Barracks are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Lions hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Super League, favouring a draw with 24.5% confidence, a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
24.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40