GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 7/5/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Red Lions are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CIVO United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Lions hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

36.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Red LionsLWLWD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
CIVO UnitedWDLLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Red LionsCIVO United
27.8Attack16.7
69.4Defence63.9
44.4Form30.6
49.1Power40.0
0.67xG0.38
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