Red Lionsvs
CIVO United
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 7/5/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Red Lions are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CIVO United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Lions hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20