Red Lionsvs
Chitipa United
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 6/21/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Red Lions are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Chitipa United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Lions hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80