GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 8/6/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Red Bull Salzburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while WSG Wattens are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Bundesliga, while Red Bull Salzburg holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Red Bull Salzburg

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Red Bull SalzburgWWLWL

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
WSG WattensLWWLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Red Bull SalzburgWSG Wattens
33.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence33.3
66.7Form16.7
64.8Power31.3
1.61xG0.93
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