Red Bull Salzburgvs
SCR Altach
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 10/18/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Red Bull Salzburg 2-0 SCR Altach, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Red Bull Salzburg 3-0 SCR Altach
Original prediction
Red Bull Salzburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 68.0% | 74.1% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.97 | 18.8% | 16.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 7.04 | 13.2% | 9.8% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Projected Score
Red Bull Salzburg 2–0 SCR Altach
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Red Bull Salzburg
Probability
74.1%
Model confidence
74.1%
Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80