Red Bull Salzburgvs
Rapid Vienna
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 9/2/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Red Bull Salzburg 5-1 Rapid Vienna
Original prediction
Red Bull Salzburg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 52.1% | 41.8% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 23.4% | 25.7% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 24.4% | 32.5% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Red Bull Salzburg
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80