GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Red Bull Salzburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pafos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Red Bull Salzburg holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Red Bull Salzburg

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

12.2%

Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Red Bull SalzburgWWWLL

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
PafosWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Red Bull SalzburgPafos
66.7Attack41.7
50.0Defence50.0
66.7Form33.3
64.8Power43.3
1.78xG1.15
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