GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Red Bull Salzburg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mjallby AIF are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Red Bull Salzburg holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Red Bull Salzburg

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

12.3%

Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Red Bull SalzburgDDWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mjallby AIFLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Red Bull SalzburgMjallby AIF
66.7Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
64.8Power50.0
1.70xG1.25
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