Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 202615:00Updated today
Red Bull Salzburg

Red Bull Salzburg

Home
LL
vs
15:00
Mamelodi Sundowns

Mamelodi Sundowns

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Red Bull Salzburg40%
Draw35%
Mamelodi Sundowns25%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Red Bull Salzburg
40%
Draw
35%
Mamelodi Sundowns
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Red Bull Salzburg
18
Mamelodi Sundowns
73
Defence
Red Bull Salzburg
14
Mamelodi Sundowns
6
Momentum
Red Bull Salzburg
0
Mamelodi Sundowns
0
Danger (xG)
Red Bull Salzburg
0.45
Mamelodi Sundowns
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Red Bull Salzburg)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Mamelodi Sundowns)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Red Bull Salzburg)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Mamelodi Sundowns)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
LL
Mamelodi SundownsMamelodi Sundowns
L

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Red Bull Salzburg40%
Draw35%
Mamelodi Sundowns25%

Red Bull Salzburg leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Red Bull Salzburg head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in mixed form (LL), while Mamelodi Sundowns arrive in mixed form (L). Red Bull Salzburg have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Mamelodi Sundowns over 1 games.

The model rates Red Bull Salzburg's attack at 18/100 against a 6/100 Mamelodi Sundowns defence, and Mamelodi Sundowns's attack at 73/100 against a 14/100 Red Bull Salzburg backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Red Bull Salzburg have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per home match. Mamelodi Sundowns have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Red Bull Salzburg and Mamelodi Sundowns in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Red Bull Salzburg to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Red Bull Salzburg 4020%, Draw 3500%, Mamelodi Sundowns 2479%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Red Bull Salzburg

Red Bull Salzburg

L
vs Gamba Osaka
15 Jul 2026
03
L
vs Başakşehir
15 Jul 2026
12
Mamelodi Sundowns

Mamelodi Sundowns

L
@ TS Galaxy
12 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

GoalVio's model predicts Red Bull Salzburg to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Red Bull Salzburg vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Red Bull Salzburg vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Red Bull Salzburg vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more