GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2025, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferencvarosi TC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Red Bull Salzburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ferencvarosi TC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferencvarosi TC hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 72.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ferencvarosi TC holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferencvarosi TC

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

42.1%

Ferencvarosi TC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Red Bull SalzburgDWLWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ferencvarosi TCDDWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Red Bull SalzburgFerencvarosi TC
66.7Attack61.1
50.0Defence72.2
66.7Form77.8
64.8Power72.4
1.19xG1.54
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