GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/25/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Red Bull Salzburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Porto are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Red Bull Salzburg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Red Bull Salzburg

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Red Bull SalzburgLLDWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC PortoWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Red Bull SalzburgFC Porto
66.7Attack53.3
50.0Defence50.0
66.7Form40.0
64.8Power49.6
1.77xG1.36
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