Red Bull Salzburgvs
FC BW Linz
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Red Bull Salzburg 1-2 FC BW Linz
Original prediction
Red Bull Salzburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.9% | 54.4% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.5% | 23.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 5.85 | 15.6% | 21.7% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Red Bull Salzburg
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40