Red Bull Salzburgvs
FC Basel 1893
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Red Bull Salzburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Basel 1893 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Red Bull Salzburg holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Red Bull Salzburg
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40