GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Red Bull Salzburg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Basel 1893 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Red Bull Salzburg holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Red Bull Salzburg

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Red Bull SalzburgWDLWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC Basel 1893DLWDW

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Red Bull SalzburgFC Basel 1893
66.7Attack37.5
50.0Defence45.8
66.7Form25.0
64.8Power37.8
1.95xG0.98
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