GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 8/13/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Red Bull Salzburg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Austria Vienna are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Red Bull Salzburg hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Bundesliga, while Red Bull Salzburg holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Red Bull Salzburg

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

54.1%

Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Red Bull SalzburgLWWWL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Austria ViennaWWWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Red Bull SalzburgAustria Vienna
33.3Attack0.0
83.3Defence16.7
66.7Form0.0
64.8Power13.2
1.74xG0.87
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