Red Arrowsvs
Kaizer Chiefs
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Confederation Cup · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Red Arrows · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Red Arrows 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs
Original prediction
Red Arrows
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.71 | 24.4% | 39.4% | 15.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.5% | 28.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 46.1% | 31.8% | -14.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Red Arrows
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Red Arrows has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20