Recreativo Huelvavs
Xerez
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Recreativo Huelva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Recreativo Huelva 0-0 Xerez, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Recreativo Huelva 1-0 Xerez
Original prediction
Recreativo Huelva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.2% | 38.9% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.7% | 32.3% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.22 | 21.1% | 28.8% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Projected Score
Recreativo Huelva 0–0 Xerez
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Recreativo Huelva
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Recreativo Huelva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40