GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Recreativo Huelva · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Recreativo Huelva 0-0 Puente Genil, with an exact score probability of 27%.

Prediction record

Final result

Recreativo Huelva 2-1 Puente Genil

Original prediction

Recreativo Huelva

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5657.8%55.1%-2.7 pts
Draw3.4226.4%30.8%4.4 pts
Away5.6915.8%14.1%-1.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.7 pts

Projected Score

Recreativo Huelva 0–0 Puente Genil

Exact score probability: 27%

Predicted outcome

Recreativo Huelva

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Recreativo Huelva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Recreativo HuelvaWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Puente GenilWLWLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Recreativo HuelvaPuente Genil
40.2Attack27.5
75.5Defence63.7
55.9Form39.2
58.3Power46.2
0.97xG0.36
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