Recreativo Huelvavs
Navalcarnero
COMPLETEDSpain · Copa Federacion · 10/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Recreativo Huelva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Recreativo Huelva 2-2 Navalcarnero
Original prediction
Recreativo Huelva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.3% | 40.1% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.1% | 27.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.6% | 32.5% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Recreativo Huelva
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Recreativo Huelva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20