Recreativo Huelvavs
Las Palmas II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Recreativo Huelva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Recreativo Huelva 4-0 Las Palmas II
Original prediction
Recreativo Huelva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.2% | 46.9% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.7% | 27.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 5.57 | 16.2% | 25.3% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Recreativo Huelva
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Recreativo Huelva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.25/1.00