GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 3/13/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Recoleta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Recoleta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union San Felipe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Recoleta hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Primera B, while Recoleta holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Recoleta

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

60.5%

Recoleta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RecoletaLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union San FelipeWDLLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RecoletaUnion San Felipe
46.3Attack26.3
50.0Defence40.4
42.6Form35.1
47.9Power36.4
1.82xG0.70
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