GGOALVIO

Chile · Copa Chile · 2/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Recoleta · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Recoleta are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Union Espanola are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Recoleta hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (40.6 v 36.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Copa Chile, while Recoleta holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Recoleta

Probability

43.2%

Model confidence

13.7%

Recoleta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RecoletaLDLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union EspanolaLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RecoletaUnion Espanola
33.3Attack26.7
46.7Defence46.7
33.3Form26.7
40.6Power36.3
1.47xG1.14
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