Recoletavs
Santiago Wanderers
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santiago Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Recoleta 2-1 Santiago Wanderers
Original prediction
Santiago Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 41.6% | 31.6% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.6% | 28.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.9% | 39.4% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Santiago Wanderers
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Santiago Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00