Recoletavs
San Marcos de Arica
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 9/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Recoleta 0-0 San Marcos de Arica, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Recoleta 2-1 San Marcos de Arica
Original prediction
San Marcos de Arica
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.4% | 29.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.7% | 29.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.9% | 41.2% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Recoleta 0–0 San Marcos de Arica
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
San Marcos de Arica
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60