GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 4/18/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Recoleta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Recoleta are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Curico Unido are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Recoleta hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Primera B, while Recoleta holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Recoleta

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Recoleta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RecoletaWLWWL

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Curico UnidoDDLWL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RecoletaCurico Unido
46.3Attack33.3
50.0Defence48.1
42.6Form35.2
47.9Power41.7
1.57xG0.90
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