Örebro Syrianskavs
Nyköping
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyköping · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Örebro Syrianska 0-1 Nyköping, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Örebro Syrianska 1-0 Nyköping
Original prediction
Nyköping
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 34.3% | 23.3% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.6% | 25.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 41.1% | 51.4% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Projected Score
Örebro Syrianska 0–1 Nyköping
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Nyköping
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Nyköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60