GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 4/15/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Örebro Syrianska · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Örebro Syrianska are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Hammarby Talang are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hammarby Talang hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Ettan - Norra, while Örebro Syrianska holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Örebro Syrianska

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Örebro Syrianska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Örebro SyrianskaLWLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.75/2.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Hammarby TalangWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Örebro SyrianskaHammarby Talang
40.0Attack40.0
47.8Defence52.2
42.2Form44.4
44.7Power47.3
1.24xG1.17
View match centre →