Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Rebordosa are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Amarante are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Amarante hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (52.1 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00