Reboceros La Piedadvs
Los Cabos United
COMPLETEDMexico · Primera Premier · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reboceros La Piedad · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reboceros La Piedad 2-1 Los Cabos United
Original prediction
Reboceros La Piedad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.3% | 48.3% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 26.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.16 | 21.7% | 24.8% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Reboceros La Piedad
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Reboceros La Piedad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00