Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rebel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rebel are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Penuel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.0 against 51.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Druha Liga, while Rebel holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rebel
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Rebel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20