Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rebel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rebel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Penuel are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.0 against 51.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Druha Liga, while Rebel holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rebel
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Rebel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00