Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rebel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rebel are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lozova are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rebel hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Druha Liga, while Rebel holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rebel
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Rebel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.33/2.00