Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chayka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rebel are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chayka are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chayka hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Druha Liga, while Chayka holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chayka
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Chayka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20