Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rebel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rebel are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atlet are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rebel hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Druha Liga, while Rebel holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rebel
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Rebel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20