GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/14/2025, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergantiños · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Ávila are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bergantiños are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergantiños hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1, while Bergantiños holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergantiños

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

Bergantiños has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real ÁvilaWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BergantiñosDDWLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real ÁvilaBergantiños
47.1Attack43.1
49.0Defence63.7
49.0Form47.1
50.1Power52.6
1.09xG1.21
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