Real Valladolid IIvs
Real Ávila
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Valladolid II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Valladolid II 2-1 Real Ávila
Original prediction
Real Valladolid II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.5% | 53.0% | 11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.5% | 24.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 31.1% | 22.1% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Real Valladolid II
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Real Valladolid II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40