Real Valladolid IIvs
Calvo Sotelo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Valladolid II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Real Valladolid II 0-0 Calvo Sotelo, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Real Valladolid II 3-0 Calvo Sotelo
Original prediction
Real Valladolid II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 53.2% | 40.5% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.1% | 30.0% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 4.21 | 21.7% | 29.4% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Projected Score
Real Valladolid II 0–0 Calvo Sotelo
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Real Valladolid II
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Real Valladolid II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00